PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x55332464a4d4fae19956d740dddff103918251ba

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$9.28M
Markets traded
8,910
Open portfolio
$769.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,910
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.0030.011$12.55+$8.96
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0030.006$10.73+$5.76
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0020.006$8.73+$6.05
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? · Yes0.0030.007$8.68+$5.21
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.0020.005$7.98+$4.79
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? · Yes0.0270.064$7.70+$4.45
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on August 31? · No0.0340.047$7.66+$2.07
Will Jio Platforms IPO by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1020.233$7.24+$4.06
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0070.009$7.06+$1.51
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0020.005$6.88+$4.13
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0310.054$6.81+$2.94
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.0120.029$6.76+$3.96
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.0280.075$6.59+$4.17
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.004$6.47+$1.40
Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0030.005$6.32+$2.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:42Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.03$0.40
08-02 23:18Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 3?BUY0.07$1.05
08-02 23:17Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3?BUY0.066$0.99
08-02 23:14Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 4?BUY0.04$1.33
08-02 23:12Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 3?BUY0.05$0.66
08-02 22:55Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 4?SELL0.03$0.15
08-02 22:54Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?SELL0.003$1.68
08-02 22:46Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.039$0.54
08-02 22:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?SELL0.018$2.29
08-02 22:26Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.07$0.70
08-02 22:26Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?SELL0.03$2.61
08-02 22:22Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.017$0.34
08-02 22:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.03$1.81
08-02 22:14Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 4?BUY0.04$2.80
08-02 22:08Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 2?SELL0.03$2.10