mckmcmkcmk
0x5537cf4f47b259a1d753069f6026f4de246af9c8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $289.8k
- Markets traded
- 801
- Open portfolio
- $600.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded801
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? · Yes | 0.683 | 1.000 | $599.70 | +$189.70 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.001 | $0.25 | −$304.75 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.001 | $0.15 | −$146.85 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Rocket Classic? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$28.08 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group · HANJIN BRION | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.00 |
| Will AIK win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.467 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$539.99 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs · Spirit | 0.501 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$501.12 |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5) · Spirit | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| Will Galatasaray Istanbul win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.42 |
| IK Oddevold vs. Norrby IF: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.377England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$1.2kat 0.419Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival
- +$1.0kat 0.277Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals
- +$1.0kat 0.401Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$942.50at 0.623Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:49 | Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 08-02 20:43 | Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.67 | $268.00 |
| 08-02 13:42 | Will AIK win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 11:51 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.5999999994 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 21:18 | Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) | BUY | 0.3799999992 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 11:07 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.27786 | $27.79 |
| 07-31 11:23 | IK Oddevold vs. Norrby IF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 07-30 19:23 | Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 16:36 | FCI Levadia vs. IFK Göteborg: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $200.00 |
| 07-30 16:15 | RSC Anderlecht vs. Hammarby Fotboll: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $180.00 |
| 07-30 16:03 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7199999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 15:59 | Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 15:51 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5489021937 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 14:03 | Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7164179101 | $200.00 |
| 07-25 16:25 | Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier | BUY | 0.3699999992 | $200.00 |