PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x557ACa156C39e007146e3b3372c4fd6150eA3D56-1771771059343

0x557aca156c39e007146e3b3372c4fd6150ea3d56

Realised P&L
$16.4k
Volume
$905.6k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$86.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0270.012$86.07$108.92
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$4.00
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$74.00
Exact Score: Scotland 3 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$7.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$199.99
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Ecuador? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$100.00
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 6? · No0.1080.000$0.00$100.00
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 2 Uruguay? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$80.00
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Australia? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$300.00
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 2 Uruguay? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$159.99
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$164.67
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 DR Congo? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$70.00
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$150.00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$141.98
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? · No0.1170.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 09:01US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.018$9.99
07-21 09:01Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.0599999993$80.00
07-21 09:01Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.0854661352$300.00
07-21 09:00Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.0420122172$100.00
07-20 09:37Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.08$1.00
07-19 20:57Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.0978261295$225.00
07-19 08:50Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.1485100478$300.00
07-19 08:50Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.1259145664$200.00
07-19 08:50Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.1109451035$100.00
07-18 18:10Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.1228581575$400.00
07-16 20:49Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.0324342139$150.00
07-16 20:47US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0073857089$75.00
07-16 13:05Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.0377389214$50.00
07-16 13:05Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.0355304875$50.00
07-16 13:05Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?BUY0.0282021043$100.00