PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

molodoyy

0x564f22744b7941ade18d5e0e4f347c30e3057026

Realised P&L
$30.3k
Volume
$1.15M
Markets traded
2,910
Open portfolio
$25.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,910
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No0.4260.700$1.4k+$532.76
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? · No0.5830.595$1.2k+$23.73
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.6060.705$1.1k+$161.43
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.6080.870$1.0k+$309.11
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.8510.885$927.48+$35.64
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7040.997$659.68+$193.82
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6270.705$639.84+$70.87
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.220$591.39+$177.53
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.6330.515$550.56$126.41
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.5080.985$492.28+$238.46
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? · No0.8560.934$466.00+$39.29
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5480.635$431.80+$59.15
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026? · No0.8210.815$389.53$3.06
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.3400.575$387.03+$157.89
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2310.920$385.75+$288.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:53Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.5203623188$287.24
08-03 08:49Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.024$2.52
08-03 08:48Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0613991219$3.08
08-03 07:02Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.8500572917$163.21
08-03 07:01Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.6144444444$88.48
08-03 07:00Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?SELL0.69$138.00
08-03 06:59Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?SELL0.4651$93.02
08-03 06:56Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.58$55.10
08-03 06:54Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.387$13.93
08-03 06:52Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.6586652429$37.01
08-03 06:49Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?BUY0.91$23.77
08-03 06:49Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?BUY0.26$1.30
08-03 06:47Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?SELL0.7039344262$42.94
08-03 06:44Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?BUY0.93$38.13
08-03 06:41Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?BUY0.1183039052$7.79