molodoyy
0x564f22744b7941ade18d5e0e4f347c30e3057026
- Realised P&L
- $30.3k
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 2,910
- Open portfolio
- $25.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,910
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.143Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?
- +$1.0kat 0.417Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?
- +$995.24at 0.020Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1460 by December 31, 2026?
- +$963.53at 0.171Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$927.04at 0.181Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in Play Store on December 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:53 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.5203623188 | $287.24 |
| 08-03 08:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.52 |
| 08-03 08:48 | Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0613991219 | $3.08 |
| 08-03 07:02 | Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.8500572917 | $163.21 |
| 08-03 07:01 | Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.6144444444 | $88.48 |
| 08-03 07:00 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $138.00 |
| 08-03 06:59 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.4651 | $93.02 |
| 08-03 06:56 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $55.10 |
| 08-03 06:54 | Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.387 | $13.93 |
| 08-03 06:52 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.6586652429 | $37.01 |
| 08-03 06:49 | Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $23.77 |
| 08-03 06:49 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 08-03 06:47 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.7039344262 | $42.94 |
| 08-03 06:44 | Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $38.13 |
| 08-03 06:41 | Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.1183039052 | $7.79 |