PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kawabanga25

0x571581ccb605f35f0af032723cbfc5b3f4a41616

Realised P&L
$22.5k
Volume
$7.84M
Markets traded
424
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded424
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1950.115$943.31$656.83
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0400.024$754.94$513.29
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.0670.025$335.17$566.86
Israel military action against Yemen by August 31? · Yes0.1100.120$2.22+$0.18
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0150.001$0.50$14.50
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$40.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$13.00
Iran leadership change by July 31? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$858.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:44Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.0230637098$50.00
08-02 11:56Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?SELL0.0179908917$107.95
08-02 10:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.11$7.39
08-02 10:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?SELL0.0258881569$57.53
08-02 10:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.10995265$659.72
08-02 10:08Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?SELL0.02$40.00
08-02 10:05Iran leadership change by August 31?SELL0.02236$67.08
08-02 09:16Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?SELL0.0199281519$318.85
08-02 03:32Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.0537310769$139.70
08-02 03:30Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.06$123.71
08-02 03:28Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?SELL0.03$90.00
08-02 03:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.109999999$100.00
08-02 03:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.109999999$100.00
08-02 03:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.109999999$100.00
08-02 03:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1099999999$1.2k