nchgbhy
0x57b00c3ccef1b6bd6962fb9ca463c4e0b38e76f4
- Realised P&L
- $80.1k
- Volume
- $8.61M
- Markets traded
- 2,418
- Open portfolio
- $56.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,418
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.041Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$4.6kat 0.111Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
- +$3.4kat 0.986Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$3.1kat 0.002Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
- +$2.4kat 0.135Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:22 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.914 | $704.41 |
| 08-02 02:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.3k |
| 08-01 16:00 | Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 08-01 16:00 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July? | BUY | 0.97 | $2.25 |
| 08-01 15:53 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.801 | $404.52 |
| 08-01 15:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1949820744 | $15.77 |
| 08-01 15:17 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2102686186 | $156.56 |
| 08-01 15:12 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7065248998 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 15:06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7848334642 | $389.88 |
| 08-01 14:42 | Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $2.60 |
| 08-01 14:40 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | SELL | 0.898 | $3.0k |
| 08-01 14:20 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.7314546745 | $206.16 |
| 08-01 14:19 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31? | BUY | 0.9168484557 | $610.93 |
| 08-01 14:12 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $25.05 |
| 08-01 14:12 | Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $31.26 |