PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nchgbhy

0x57b00c3ccef1b6bd6962fb9ca463c4e0b38e76f4

Realised P&L
$80.1k
Volume
$8.61M
Markets traded
2,418
Open portfolio
$56.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,418
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · No0.8731.000$8.4k+$1.1k
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.6050.865$6.1k+$1.8k
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.9961.000$4.0k+$14.00
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.7800.805$3.3k+$103.35
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? · No0.9080.979$2.3k+$167.16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.7310.520$2.2k$875.44
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8480.892$2.0k+$97.72
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.870$1.6k+$73.60
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.8170.865$1.5k+$82.47
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6840.565$1.5k$307.76
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5010.535$1.4k+$88.18
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · No0.6160.790$1.3k+$293.46
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? · Anthropic0.7550.815$1.3k+$95.84
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7050.680$1.1k$41.82
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.6310.865$1.1k+$295.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:22Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.914$704.41
08-02 02:08US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.68$1.3k
08-01 16:00Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?BUY0.99$99.00
08-01 16:00Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?BUY0.97$2.25
08-01 15:53Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.801$404.52
08-01 15:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.1949820744$15.77
08-01 15:17Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.2102686186$156.56
08-01 15:12Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.7065248998$1.1k
08-01 15:06Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7848334642$389.88
08-01 14:42Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?SELL0.88$2.60
08-01 14:40Yoon out of custody before 2027?SELL0.898$3.0k
08-01 14:20Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.7314546745$206.16
08-01 14:19Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?BUY0.9168484557$610.93
08-01 14:12Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?BUY0.94$25.05
08-01 14:12Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?BUY0.94$31.26