PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ksms999

0x57beef33027c4041d2758ffcd18efc409816e140

Realised P&L
$-31.67
Volume
$60.4k
Markets traded
110
Open portfolio
$38.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded110
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yes0.2830.312$13.29+$1.23
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.115$6.21$1.89
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.0130.009$5.55$2.45
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$3.64$0.28
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.009$3.21$0.19
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.0700.081$1.61+$0.21
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0060.009$1.58+$0.58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.0090.004$0.78$1.22
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 67m? · Yes0.0030.001$0.37$1.63
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes0.0130.001$0.11$2.89
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m? · Yes0.0100.001$0.10$0.90
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m? · Yes0.0110.001$0.09$1.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 15:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.009$1.01
08-02 15:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.011$1.38
08-02 15:05Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.0117166447$10.00
08-02 14:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.01$10.00
08-02 14:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.01$10.00
08-02 14:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.01$5.00
08-02 14:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.01$5.00
08-02 02:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.02$2.00
08-02 02:26Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.0199401795$2.00
08-02 02:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.0199501247$4.00
08-02 01:57Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?BUY0.0449142863$4.20
08-02 01:11Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-02 01:10Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 19:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$16.98
08-01 18:10Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?SELL0.001$0.50