ksms999
0x57beef33027c4041d2758ffcd18efc409816e140
- Realised P&L
- $-31.67
- Volume
- $60.4k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $38.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.44at 0.180Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$20.38at 0.008Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?
- +$17.04at 0.440Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$15.47at 0.003Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$9.75at 0.600Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.01 |
| 08-02 15:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.38 |
| 08-02 15:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.0117166447 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 14:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 02:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 02:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.0199401795 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 02:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.0199501247 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 01:57 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? | BUY | 0.0449142863 | $4.20 |
| 08-02 01:11 | Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:10 | Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:10 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 08-01 18:10 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |