PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LuciferTheMorningStar

0x58ac361a74c50a331b91b2db2eaefe4f2d127636

Realised P&L
$-179.27
Volume
$32.1k
Markets traded
727
Open portfolio
$84.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded727
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to Score · No0.2600.455$25.19+$10.80
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6000.510$21.73$3.83
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5 · Over0.3900.300$17.54$5.26
Will KS Cracovia Krakow vs. Pogon Szczecin end in a draw? · Yes0.3200.315$12.67$0.20
Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5 · Under0.4900.700$6.90+$2.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$3.03
ITF Pergamino: Justina Gonzalez Daniele vs Francesca Mattioli · Justina Gonzalez Daniele0.0600.000$0.00$15.49
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays0.4200.000$0.00$25.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$4.00
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners · Under0.2300.000$0.00$25.68
Karolina Muchova vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Under 2.50.5000.000$0.00$19.75
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 · Under0.3400.000$0.00$13.99
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner · MOUZ0.4600.000$0.00$13.57
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega · Team Liquid0.2100.000$0.00$13.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 17:27National Bank Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin ZhuBUY0.1$14.18
08-01 17:04National Bank Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin ZhuBUY0.239999987$12.59
08-01 16:57Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max DahlinBUY0.4052546121$12.81
08-01 16:56San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Juan Pablo VarillasBUY0.5$12.76
08-01 16:45Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaBUY0.2$12.57
08-01 14:54Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.3499999847$13.77
08-01 14:24Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.46$13.57
08-01 12:44Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.4799999938$15.53
08-01 05:23Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis ShapovalovBUY0.44$13.09
08-01 01:47Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5BUY0.51$14.28
08-01 01:27North Carolina Courage vs. Orlando Pride: O/U 3.5BUY0.25$3.25
08-01 00:02Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsBUY0.5$13.07
07-31 23:11Valorant: Cloud9 vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaBUY0.45$13.41
07-31 19:25Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi OsakaBUY0.52$13.13
07-31 19:02Will Birmingham City vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?BUY0.25$12.77