I-want-Hermes
0x58f505950ae2d9fc76c906d6372b01f60fe3be7b
- Realised P&L
- $-9.6k
- Volume
- $2.24M
- Markets traded
- 166
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded166
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.048 | $1.3k | −$6.5k |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.3k |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.5kat 0.315Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
- +$8.1kat 0.230US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$7.1kat 0.493MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?
- +$4.0kat 0.120Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.156Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 07:27 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.1453283477 | $1.6k |
| 03-20 07:27 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.0160250584 | $1.6k |
| 03-19 19:37 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.1409730396 | $1.8k |
| 03-19 19:37 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.0184265962 | $1.8k |
| 03-19 09:28 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.2k |
| 03-19 09:26 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.0241036588 | $1.2k |
| 03-19 09:17 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.0727229575 | $1.2k |
| 03-19 09:16 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.0230421324 | $1.2k |
| 03-19 09:16 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.1495817253 | $2.4k |
| 03-19 09:16 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.0241609021 | $2.4k |
| 03-19 09:15 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $502.13 |
| 03-19 09:15 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.025106272 | $502.13 |
| 03-19 09:14 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $1.3k |
| 03-19 09:14 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.0259361236 | $1.3k |
| 03-19 09:11 | Netanyahu out by June 30? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $1.4k |