yangguang0511
0x58fd45d701b93e76d6c04a0983ee5b3cc29d43a6
- Realised P&L
- $7.2k
- Volume
- $55.06M
- Markets traded
- 7,521
- Open portfolio
- $14.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,521
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.20at 0.171Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
- +$129.17at 0.021Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$125.50at 0.130Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
- +$118.72at 0.226Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?
- +$106.59at 0.762Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 06:17 | Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.17 |
| 08-02 01:11 | Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |
| 08-02 01:10 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.71 |
| 08-01 23:49 | Will Mark Stewart Greenstein be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 08-01 01:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.41 |
| 07-31 16:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $12.12 |
| 07-31 13:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 07-31 09:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 06:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.20 |
| 07-30 18:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.63 |
| 07-30 18:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.88 |
| 07-30 08:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.99 |
| 07-30 08:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.01 |
| 07-28 16:57 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.53 |
| 07-28 16:55 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.18 |