congresss
0x59355b321c93e93ea38a9b1de375a75d3f605e9b
- Realised P&L
- $-224.86
- Volume
- $122.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.950 | $1.2k | +$584.35 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.854 | $853.50 | +$353.50 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.146 | $146.50 | −$353.50 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.916 | 0.946 | $127.64 | +$3.98 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.974 | $106.11 | +$4.74 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.051 | $65.65 | −$584.35 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.939 | $47.49 | +$2.96 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.595 | $29.75 | −$3.75 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.943 | $18.86 | +$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.10at 0.780No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$40.80at 0.864Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?
- +$26.23at 0.921Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
- +$24.02at 0.006Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$19.01at 0.159Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 16:00 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | SELL | 0.05 | $124.36 |
| 07-22 14:38 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | SELL | 0.06 | $77.24 |
| 07-22 14:38 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $273.12 |
| 07-22 11:51 | Will Tadej Pogačar be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? | SELL | 0.53 | $21.20 |
| 07-22 09:48 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $10.05 |
| 07-22 09:47 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | SELL | 0.2615433333 | $156.93 |
| 07-22 02:56 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 07-22 02:55 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $180.00 |
| 07-22 02:55 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | BUY | 0.13 | $65.00 |
| 07-22 02:54 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $2.1k |
| 07-09 09:42 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $2.1k |
| 07-09 09:41 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $33.50 |
| 07-09 09:40 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 06-21 02:06 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June? | SELL | 0.33 | $198.47 |
| 06-21 00:53 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June? | BUY | 0.34 | $122.40 |