0x59ed7974d922c32b0e101e8eb5b54eedfc3a7d8d
- Realised P&L
- $-74.61
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $9.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.011 | $6.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.140 | $3.03 | +$1.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.67at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$9.87at 0.236Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (April 19)
- +$9.79at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$9.33at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$7.98at 0.249Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 20:11 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999585 | $1.30 |
| 08-01 19:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.011 | $7.00 |
| 07-20 17:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0109999962 | $2.89 |
| 07-20 17:09 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 20, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $3.14 |
| 07-20 16:19 | Dogecoin Up or Down - July 20, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.4699998571 | $1.48 |
| 07-20 15:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0179999978 | $7.77 |
| 06-29 06:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999784 | $4.50 |
| 06-29 06:44 | Solana Up or Down - June 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8199998953 | $3.76 |
| 06-29 06:42 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.27 | $1.01 |
| 06-29 06:42 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 06:42 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.11 | $1.09 |
| 06-29 06:42 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.07 | $0.85 |
| 06-28 23:49 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 23:48 | Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.1099999203 | $1.09 |