PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lycaon1150

0x59f804c13f5a0a03563a7ec108ad3c834c11953f

Realised P&L
$-357.25
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$0.75

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes0.4600.001$0.75$689.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:46Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.46$690.00
08-02 18:04Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02?SELL0.999$1.8k
08-02 12:03Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.47$832.42
08-02 11:36Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02?BUY0.46$20.44
08-01 17:55Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?SELL0.999$2.5k
08-01 16:07Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.44$127.00
08-01 15:59Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.4599229365$216.64
08-01 15:58Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.46$680.26
02-27 01:56Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)SELL0.54$40.09
02-27 01:55Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)BUY0.55$40.83