lycaon1150
0x59f804c13f5a0a03563a7ec108ad3c834c11953f
- Realised P&L
- $-357.25
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.001 | $0.75 | −$689.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.458Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?
- +$960.87at 0.470Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02?
- +$-0.74at 0.550Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
- +$-2.0kat 0.520Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:46 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.46 | $690.00 |
| 08-02 18:04 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 12:03 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.47 | $832.42 |
| 08-02 11:36 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.46 | $20.44 |
| 08-01 17:55 | Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 08-01 16:07 | Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.44 | $127.00 |
| 08-01 15:59 | Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.4599229365 | $216.64 |
| 08-01 15:58 | Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.46 | $680.26 |
| 02-27 01:56 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | SELL | 0.54 | $40.09 |
| 02-27 01:55 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $40.83 |