PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

demux2000

0x5a37a6516abf247e9c500d29d334aa7f6a7bd223

Realised P&L
$13.68
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$153.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.3750.195$140.26$129.73
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.3400.045$13.24$86.76
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.1220.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-28 20:39Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.1219999966$30.00
02-07 00:10 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?SELL0.093800114$24.68
02-05 16:42Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?BUY0.5299999986$50.00
02-05 16:38US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? SELL0.962$248.01
02-04 16:00 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY0.1899999975$50.00
02-01 06:39Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?BUY0.4559932535$100.00
02-01 05:21US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? BUY0.3878750267$100.00
01-24 16:14Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.718760856$100.00
01-22 01:54Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.3399999978$100.00