FFIE.
0x5a45565906b8478fe456a0d313ce8839b3e7f628
- Realised P&L
- $-30.2k
- Volume
- $5.13M
- Markets traded
- 776
- Open portfolio
- $14.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded776
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.3kat 0.318Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
- +$8.2kat 0.093Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
- +$8.0kat 0.202Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$6.2kat 0.483Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
- +$5.7kat 0.093Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 21:56 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.937338403 | $246.52 |
| 08-02 21:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.7342307692 | $381.80 |
| 08-02 21:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 10:16 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August? | BUY | 0.81 | $60.10 |
| 08-02 09:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.94 | $199.28 |
| 08-02 09:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.93 | $920.39 |
| 08-02 09:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.99 |
| 08-02 09:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 09:07 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.9463505189 | $955.59 |
| 08-02 08:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August? | BUY | 0.8053265507 | $245.38 |
| 08-02 08:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.86 | $221.02 |
| 08-02 08:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.7988687426 | $932.30 |
| 08-02 08:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.84 | $510.72 |
| 08-01 00:19 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.74 | $5.88 |