realrtrd
0x5af3203a38e5f7deb356dc05aea613936c231534
- Realised P&L
- $-272.04
- Volume
- $102.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,190
- Open portfolio
- $446.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,190
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.705 | $248.24 | −$1.76 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08? · Yes | 0.695 | 0.680 | $97.84 | −$2.16 |
| Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.670 | 0.655 | $97.76 | −$2.24 |
| Will the NYSE develop its own chain? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.370 | $2.42 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$391.56at 0.071Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$200.00at 0.200Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$153.23at 0.620Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
- +$134.07at 0.427Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?
- +$127.57at 0.752Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:34 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.6949891283 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:28 | Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:28 | Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.7099999993 | $250.00 |
| 08-02 16:32 | Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 08-02 16:20 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.28 | $35.00 |
| 08-02 13:16 | Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.2899999945 | $35.00 |
| 08-02 13:16 | SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $150.00 |
| 08-02 13:15 | Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 13:14 | Will AIK win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 23:34 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.6199999991 | $150.00 |
| 07-31 16:51 | Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.6299999987 | $150.00 |
| 07-28 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.5551947899 | $15.00 |
| 07-28 20:24 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.5614227077 | $9.00 |