PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x5B19165F3aC3993fb1a9ed3E5b74cd3375989197-1772204230792

0x5b19165f3ac3993fb1a9ed3e5b74cd3375989197

Realised P&L
$11.6k
Volume
$85.2k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$218.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar13.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · Yes0.7800.145$218.47$956.16
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$899.97
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? · Yes0.6840.000$0.00$676.54
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? · Yes0.6560.000$0.00$195.79
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026? · No0.0260.000$0.00$106.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-22 02:23Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 20, 2026?BUY0.97$430.72
03-22 02:22Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?BUY0.7640618542$214.44
03-19 10:34Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?BUY0.026386661$106.87
03-05 19:24US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL0.37$390.70
03-04 22:08US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY0.2$211.19
03-04 22:04US strikes Iraq by March 7?SELL0.13$270.73
03-04 21:55US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY0.248907563$518.35
03-03 22:47Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 4, 2026?BUY0.9704808602$2.0k
02-28 10:13Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?BUY0.7806705103$589.02
02-28 10:13Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?BUY0.6952157031$487.00
02-28 10:13Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?BUY0.6919357651$206.39
02-28 06:54Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?BUY0.6572395879$298.57
02-28 06:54Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?BUY0.7785413454$585.62
02-28 06:54Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?BUY0.6581499358$189.54
02-28 06:54Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?BUY0.6$117.00