TheGG
0x5cb5f18d89665287e9f01d7a6fbfb1be40a64df8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $72.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $144.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.192 | $84.49 | −$65.51 |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.015 | $60.17 | −$690.60 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| Grok 4.20 released by December 31? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$560.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.267 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes | 0.507 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$919.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.612Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$227.54at 0.568Will Last Christmas - Wham! be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
- +$67.50at 0.240Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$31.22at 0.677Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$4.63at 0.790Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-19 08:06 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.42 | $490.14 |
| 05-19 08:05 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.8 | $370.52 |
| 05-19 08:05 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.1642635091 | $136.89 |
| 03-12 11:40 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.6634859549 | $429.20 |
| 03-12 11:39 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.0120435942 | $133.82 |
| 03-05 14:37 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.018 | $200.00 |
| 01-27 11:24 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2199999977 | $70.00 |
| 01-27 11:21 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2671236112 | $75.00 |
| 01-22 07:22 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $247.50 |
| 01-18 09:59 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $180.00 |
| 01-08 15:30 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.1609958903 | $191.78 |
| 01-08 15:29 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | SELL | 0.8208600301 | $190.89 |
| 01-08 15:12 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.8599999996 | $200.00 |
| 01-08 14:48 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.1399999981 | $59.00 |
| 01-06 11:15 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $259.60 |