PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

filmans

0x5dcfc4f555e6662c9d7643b063d2b1278ac8e5ff

Realised P&L
$-615.59
Volume
$44.4k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$341.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? · Yes0.0240.008$131.66$268.33
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.1280.055$107.04$142.96
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes0.3260.140$85.82$114.18
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes0.0900.025$17.22$44.78
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$12.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$8.86
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? · Yes0.0730.000$0.00$9.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 06:50Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.0899999988$62.00
08-01 06:49Iran leadership change by September 30?BUY0.1284583453$250.00
08-01 06:48Iran full airspace closure by August 15?BUY0.3262520159$200.00
08-01 06:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?BUY0.0243059462$400.00
05-06 15:55Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?SELL0.01$67.73
05-04 02:48Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.020982689$142.12
02-24 07:08US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.19$759.59
02-22 04:13US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?BUY0.0447892239$12.75
02-22 04:13US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.17$12.75
02-22 04:12US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1799999986$101.11
02-21 22:50US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1799999998$632.00
02-21 06:50US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.2$232.05
02-20 03:00US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2599999991$150.00
02-14 19:12US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1199999981$50.00
02-14 19:05Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.4899999973$8.72