filmans
0x5dcfc4f555e6662c9d7643b063d2b1278ac8e5ff
- Realised P&L
- $-615.59
- Volume
- $44.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $341.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.008 | $131.66 | −$268.33 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.055 | $107.04 | −$142.96 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.140 | $85.82 | −$114.18 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.025 | $17.22 | −$44.78 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET · Up | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.86 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.29at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$-74.38at 0.021Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 06:50 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.0899999988 | $62.00 |
| 08-01 06:49 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | BUY | 0.1284583453 | $250.00 |
| 08-01 06:48 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.3262520159 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 06:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August? | BUY | 0.0243059462 | $400.00 |
| 05-06 15:55 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | SELL | 0.01 | $67.73 |
| 05-04 02:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.020982689 | $142.12 |
| 02-24 07:08 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $759.59 |
| 02-22 04:13 | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0447892239 | $12.75 |
| 02-22 04:13 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $12.75 |
| 02-22 04:12 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $101.11 |
| 02-21 22:50 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $632.00 |
| 02-21 06:50 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $232.05 |
| 02-20 03:00 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999991 | $150.00 |
| 02-14 19:12 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999981 | $50.00 |
| 02-14 19:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999973 | $8.72 |