46821567
0x5eda0d6cb641a76098e5cb3c9c76e57f3ecd92a7
- Realised P&L
- $-916.58
- Volume
- $854.5k
- Markets traded
- 380
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded380
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.306U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.575US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.589US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.497US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$958.31at 0.387MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 08-03 01:55 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $473.00 |
| 08-03 01:54 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $94.60 |
| 08-02 15:20 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 08-02 14:53 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.3599236701 | $159.62 |
| 08-02 14:50 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 08-02 14:48 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.401 | $4.01 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 08-02 05:21 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.42 | $41.74 |
| 08-02 04:30 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 08-02 04:30 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 08-02 03:46 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.351 | $3.51 |
| 08-02 02:47 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.299 | $4.92 |
| 08-02 02:47 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.2997656 | $29.98 |
| 08-02 02:46 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.40 |