PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

46821567

0x5eda0d6cb641a76098e5cb3c9c76e57f3ecd92a7

Realised P&L
$-916.58
Volume
$854.5k
Markets traded
380
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded380
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8420.795$1.3k$75.99
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.6501.000$637.04+$222.75
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9460.946$567.30$0.30
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7110.685$376.75$14.25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.925$92.50$0.50
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7900.805$59.51+$1.11
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.035$32.07+$26.06
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0270.009$24.42$48.65
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.2700.090$9.00$18.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
FDA approves Vepdegestrant? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$37.38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$19.48
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:52Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.93$93.00
08-03 01:55Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.946$473.00
08-03 01:54Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.946$94.60
08-02 15:20Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.69$69.00
08-02 14:53Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.3599236701$159.62
08-02 14:50Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.38$38.00
08-02 14:48Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.401$4.01
08-02 14:41Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.45$45.00
08-02 05:21Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.42$41.74
08-02 04:30Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.7$70.00
08-02 04:30Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.7$70.00
08-02 03:46Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.351$3.51
08-02 02:47Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.299$4.92
08-02 02:47Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.2997656$29.98
08-02 02:46Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.2$1.40