Pastka
0x5ee0e9591d83b85edb73ba87ac40dbdf8473d6a6
- Realised P&L
- $8.6k
- Volume
- $427.0k
- Markets traded
- 262
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded262
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 · Under | 0.580 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$420.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.440 | 0.425 | $212.50 | −$7.50 |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m? · No | 0.200 | 0.009 | $9.50 | −$190.50 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.233 | 0.003 | $1.66 | −$152.92 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$395.88 |
| Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$214.85 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Eala · Naomi Osaka | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$547.81 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$929.95 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres · San Francisco Giants | 0.213 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$475.53 |
| Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$315.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.400Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5
- +$2.8kat 0.450New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers
- +$1.7kat 0.442Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?
- +$1.4kat 0.540Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
- +$1.2kat 0.400Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:34 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.22 | $330.00 |
| 08-02 21:32 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.2 | $39.54 |
| 08-02 21:28 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.6598 | $395.88 |
| 08-02 21:05 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $580.00 |
| 08-02 20:59 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $120.56 |
| 08-02 20:46 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | SELL | 0.6200268 | $620.03 |
| 08-02 20:20 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.68 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 00:14 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01? | SELL | 0.54 | $270.00 |
| 08-02 00:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.5049517446 | $204.05 |
| 08-02 00:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.13 | $28.55 |
| 08-01 23:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $230.34 |
| 08-01 23:46 | Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $510.00 |
| 08-01 23:39 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.6199666667 | $929.95 |
| 08-01 23:38 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $66.29 |
| 08-01 23:33 | Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.4297 | $214.85 |