PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ammarb

0x5efe3c04dbc8e0f63260d3984db311128ceb5f55

Realised P&L
$-129.51
Volume
$37.0k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 14:34SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?BUY0.62$15.50
07-14 15:03Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.35$31.15
07-11 04:38AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.817$67.00
07-11 04:26Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.019$9.97
07-11 04:25Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.0097028076$23.77
07-11 04:25Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.131$29.92
07-09 16:59SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4376138534$103.11
07-08 04:46Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.96$14.40
07-08 04:43Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.15$9.00
07-08 04:39SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?BUY0.41$18.45
07-08 04:38SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?BUY0.51$24.35
07-08 04:35Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?BUY0.9235002$277.01
07-07 06:45Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?BUY0.127$3.18
07-07 06:33Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0220724657$69.27
07-07 06:31Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.93$215.76