PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

gexray

0x5fbbb661b11ab5f1dbcb392ce9a8390e5072acb2

Realised P&L
$-30.42
Volume
$65.6k
Markets traded
520
Open portfolio
$326.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded520
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.5590.525$31.50$2.02
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in August? · No0.5650.720$28.80+$6.20
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? · Yes0.6100.505$25.25$5.25
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3690.306$24.52$5.02
Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? · No0.6450.715$21.34+$2.09
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 7, 2026? · No0.5900.855$17.10+$5.30
Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · No0.8200.835$16.70+$0.30
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 13, 2026? · No0.7700.815$16.30+$0.90
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? · No0.7300.850$15.11+$2.13
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August? · No0.3600.365$10.85+$0.15
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December? · Yes0.3200.200$8.88$5.32
Will Maia Sandu visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.4180.230$8.43$6.91
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2560.115$7.33$8.97
Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.3450.365$7.30+$0.39
Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31? · Yes0.1540.155$7.13+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 03:25Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1433335556$21.50
06-30 03:25Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.035$57.75
06-27 23:33Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.014$35.00
06-27 23:31Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.014$35.00
06-14 10:59Will Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.09$13.50
06-14 10:58Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.22$11.00
06-13 22:29Will Morocco be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?BUY0.12$1.20
06-13 22:25Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?SELL0.45$22.50
06-13 22:25Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.12$15.60
06-12 06:12Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.26$11.70
06-12 06:11Will Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.131$6.55
06-12 06:07Will Netherlands reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.26$3.90
06-12 06:05Will Croatia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.126$7.57
06-10 10:08Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.1$6.00
06-10 10:07Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.33$6.60