PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rx78

0x5fdea984110138670aebb574c83a23b81ee6cbbe

Realised P&L
$16.6k
Volume
$695.0k
Markets traded
1,407
Open portfolio
$863.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,407
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.8880.969$116.22+$9.66
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? · Yes0.3501.000$95.00+$61.75
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8900.935$93.49+$4.50
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? · Yes0.1401.000$74.21+$63.82
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? · No0.9040.958$47.88+$2.67
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.1600.870$45.53+$37.16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.6300.425$42.50$20.50
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.8300.815$40.74$0.76
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7800.680$29.67$4.36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3000.175$24.06$17.19
Remote IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1400.160$24.00+$3.00
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.5200.935$23.95+$10.63
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? · Yes0.7001.000$20.00+$6.00
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? · No0.7871.000$20.00+$4.26
Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8900.925$18.50+$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 13:49S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.71$7.10
06-02 13:49S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.71$7.10
06-02 13:49S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.71$7.10
06-02 13:49S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.71$7.10
06-02 13:49S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 2?BUY0.93$9.30
06-02 13:49S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on June 2?BUY0.93$9.30
06-02 13:37S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.69$6.90
06-02 13:37S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.69$6.90
06-02 13:37S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.69$6.90
06-02 13:37S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.69$6.90
06-02 13:37S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.69$6.90
06-02 13:37S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.69$6.90
06-02 13:37S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.69$6.90
06-02 13:33S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.69$6.90
06-02 13:33S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 2?BUY0.69$6.90