SleeperHunter
0x606ffc68a29ebf92f9dc1d041fec5d0127571083
- Realised P&L
- $18.9k
- Volume
- $2.47M
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $74.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.8kat 0.849US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.850Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$2.6kat 0.940US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$2.5kat 0.871Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.348MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 08-02 23:18 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.84 | $78.90 |
| 08-02 19:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $210.41 |
| 08-01 00:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $808.00 |
| 08-01 00:47 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $789.21 |
| 07-31 21:15 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.7k |
| 07-31 18:07 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.898885763 | $389.81 |
| 07-31 09:09 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.1k |
| 07-30 23:38 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $638.06 |
| 07-29 22:33 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $358.56 |
| 07-29 19:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.0718120072 | $150.45 |
| 07-29 18:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.63 | $30.44 |
| 07-29 14:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.751 | $103.88 |
| 07-29 14:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.749 | $272.74 |
| 07-29 14:02 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $311.96 |