PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xB163daDA880FB023e3bFbD15d76E681083FA19c8-1773619833673

0x61632ef1054d5db73b6cf43caa1b7a67377307a3

Realised P&L
$-299.81
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$24.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? · Yes0.1800.559$19.56+$13.26
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m? · Yes0.5300.450$4.24$0.76
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m? · No0.3730.003$0.11$15.92
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m? · Yes0.1380.001$0.05$13.75
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m? · Yes0.1370.001$0.03$8.17
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m? · Yes0.1440.001$0.03$8.50
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m? · Yes0.1710.001$0.03$9.97
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m? · Yes0.0700.001$0.03$3.48
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 128m and 136m? · Yes0.2380.001$0.02$10.98
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m? · Yes0.1300.001$0.02$4.98
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m? · Yes0.1300.001$0.02$4.98
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m? · Yes0.1590.001$0.02$5.18
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m? · Yes0.1100.001$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 18:29Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?BUY0.2$2.59
07-30 14:33Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?BUY0.529999965$5.00
07-30 14:24Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 144m and 152m?BUY0.1709999863$10.00
07-29 22:20Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?BUY0.17$1.14
07-29 22:10Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?BUY0.16$2.56
07-28 14:17Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
07-28 14:16Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
07-28 14:16Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m?BUY0.1299999789$5.00
07-28 09:38Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?BUY0.3$2.19
07-27 20:35Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?SELL0.999$9.99
07-27 14:18Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m?BUY0.2245956723$2.03
07-27 14:16Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 128m and 136m?BUY0.2374873835$10.00
07-27 08:17Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?BUY0.138$4.69
07-26 17:27Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 128m and 136m?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-26 17:27Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m?BUY0.1099999032$1.00