PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Midas14

0x61837ce7e447a35cafd173dec3e0815326003834

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$155.9k
Markets traded
661
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded661
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? · No0.7650.845$565.29+$53.50
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8460.924$507.55+$43.27
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.8920.958$315.98+$21.58
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.7870.895$281.06+$33.83
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? · No0.9600.968$242.00+$2.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.8090.865$203.02+$13.08
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9130.965$192.90+$10.20
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7650.823$164.49+$11.50
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No0.7590.925$154.50+$27.79
Amazon 2026 capex above $200B? · Yes0.7090.935$148.33+$35.86
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · No0.8500.905$145.71+$8.86
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? · No0.8250.875$128.52+$7.34
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No0.8500.835$125.25$2.25
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · No0.7750.918$121.58+$18.94
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? · Yes0.7700.973$103.61+$21.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 19:06Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.255$12.75
07-19 19:04Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.43$21.50
07-19 19:04Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2475$24.75
07-19 19:04Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.43$43.00
07-18 16:41Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?BUY0.96$240.00
07-18 16:40Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.87$93.18
07-15 00:45Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.85$127.50
07-15 00:39Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
07-15 00:36Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in July?SELL0.84$33.60
07-12 18:47Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?SELL0.795$61.46
07-12 17:42Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSELL0.23$2.30
07-12 17:08Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevBUY0.45$4.50
07-08 00:36Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in July?BUY0.54$3.49
07-08 00:30Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in July?BUY0.78$39.00
07-06 19:37Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in July?BUY0.51$2.55