Midas14
0x61837ce7e447a35cafd173dec3e0815326003834
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $155.9k
- Markets traded
- 661
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded661
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$497.25at 0.104Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
- +$345.91at 0.957Google forced to sell Chrome?
- +$173.38at 0.399U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
- +$167.10at 0.313Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
- +$113.66at 0.850Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 19:06 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.255 | $12.75 |
| 07-19 19:04 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 07-19 19:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2475 | $24.75 |
| 07-19 19:04 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 07-18 16:41 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $240.00 |
| 07-18 16:40 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $93.18 |
| 07-15 00:45 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $127.50 |
| 07-15 00:39 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 00:36 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in July? | SELL | 0.84 | $33.60 |
| 07-12 18:47 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.795 | $61.46 |
| 07-12 17:42 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 07-12 17:08 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 07-08 00:36 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $660 in July? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.49 |
| 07-08 00:30 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in July? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 07-06 19:37 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in July? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |