PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x61c35b4665f07d2d48af01ec35efb3a6233371b3

Realised P&L
$8.1k
Volume
$78.8k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$707.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.085$354.17$145.83
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5740.195$152.88$296.87
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.2330.079$121.44$238.56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3770.506$67.16+$17.16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.4800.055$11.46$88.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 11:57Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4074999968$50.00
07-03 11:39Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999998$500.00
06-19 06:36Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3769999973$50.00
06-11 20:08Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?BUY0.4728151546$500.00
06-11 20:06Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.3225806452$100.00
05-20 22:19Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?BUY0.5091060398$501.00
05-12 21:34Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.055$99.50
05-12 21:33Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.0549999486$1.00
04-01 04:44Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.1615452636$497.50
03-30 08:09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.6699999987$99.50
03-29 15:47Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2522775158$49.75
03-29 03:16Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.609999998$99.50
03-28 06:54US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.029$52.73
03-27 18:32Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.1197192072$995.00
03-27 13:18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.64$49.75