0x620afa893ef541e46bf8a24379f04760137f4a63
- Realised P&L
- $-141.57
- Volume
- $48.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $28.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 11:44 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.59 |
| 02-11 17:56 | Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 17:55 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.022 | $4.00 |
| 02-11 17:55 | Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.88 |
| 02-11 17:55 | Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 17:55 | Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 17:55 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 02-11 17:45 | Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.02 |
| 02-11 17:45 | Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.02 |
| 02-11 17:45 | Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.02 |
| 02-11 17:45 | Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.04 |
| 02-11 17:45 | Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | BUY | 0.024 | $0.11 |
| 02-10 17:10 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0204775602 | $3.72 |
| 02-10 17:09 | Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 02-10 17:09 | Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |