Nikitka1
0x6247642e35a48b94511ddb5b15291d54d7b3ddda
- Realised P&L
- $-734.59
- Volume
- $55.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $52.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? · Yes | 0.636 | 0.120 | $18.86 | −$81.14 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.038 | $16.04 | −$33.96 |
| Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.011 | $13.60 | −$68.64 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.045 | $3.91 | −$16.09 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.286 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026? · No | 0.233 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.60 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.00 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026? · No | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.00at 0.250Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$138.58at 0.237Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$111.57at 0.520Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$105.34at 0.408MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$62.52at 0.324Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 12:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.0674770477 | $12.00 |
| 05-03 09:17 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4 | $274.05 |
| 04-29 05:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.16 | $65.00 |
| 04-28 05:46 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.44 | $52.72 |
| 04-22 02:27 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0471805205 | $32.25 |
| 04-22 02:26 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.1649958882 | $32.10 |
| 04-19 11:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2328220948 | $9.60 |
| 04-19 11:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.2353539252 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 11:16 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1748574295 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 11:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 11:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 11:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.1270573413 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 11:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1544586955 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 11:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1492968008 | $10.00 |
| 04-19 11:15 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1322795066 | $10.00 |