PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

winwin10086

0x62e92bb03aa7e09c9f0bf000a364d61a1a63fbb9

Realised P&L
$-565.37
Volume
$49.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? · Yes0.8540.740$1.6k$249.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? · Yes0.9680.953$501.80$8.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming0.5040.000$0.00$289.26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? · No0.0330.000$0.00$3.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9? · No0.5970.000$0.00$400.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14? · No0.9290.000$0.00$2.8k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.9735132421$20.00
08-02 17:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4?BUY0.87$426.30
08-02 16:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.968975$387.59
08-02 16:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4?BUY0.965$102.29
08-02 16:41Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4?BUY0.85$1.4k
08-01 06:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1?BUY0.0325$3.25
07-31 14:48Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.9844644454$2.4k
07-30 03:33Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.9$870.30
07-30 03:24Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.89$356.00
07-30 03:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.89$430.76
07-30 03:21Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.89$485.05
07-27 04:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.801$1.7k
07-22 03:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23?BUY0.94$831.90
07-21 06:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?BUY0.9849535886$955.00
07-21 06:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21?BUY0.98$626.35