winwin10086
0x62e92bb03aa7e09c9f0bf000a364d61a1a63fbb9
- Realised P&L
- $-565.37
- Volume
- $49.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? · Yes | 0.854 | 0.740 | $1.6k | −$249.60 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.953 | $501.80 | −$8.08 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs · Bilibili Gaming | 0.504 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$289.26 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? · No | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9? · No | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14? · No | 0.929 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$667.62at 0.590Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$665.09at 0.792Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?
- +$490.75at 0.768Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 3?
- +$432.34at 0.801Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$220.26at 0.894Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9735132421 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 17:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $426.30 |
| 08-02 16:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.968975 | $387.59 |
| 08-02 16:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.965 | $102.29 |
| 08-02 16:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.4k |
| 08-01 06:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.0325 | $3.25 |
| 07-31 14:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.9844644454 | $2.4k |
| 07-30 03:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $870.30 |
| 07-30 03:24 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $356.00 |
| 07-30 03:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $430.76 |
| 07-30 03:21 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $485.05 |
| 07-27 04:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.801 | $1.7k |
| 07-22 03:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.94 | $831.90 |
| 07-21 06:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.9849535886 | $955.00 |
| 07-21 06:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 21? | BUY | 0.98 | $626.35 |