tomsir
0x630519aed8ebc5e0e08a95f4e83b0ae541c09d0b
- Realised P&L
- $-16.4k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $262.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.6kat 0.162MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$6.0kat 0.271EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$4.5kat 0.462MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$3.3kat 0.578MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
- +$3.3kat 0.379Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 08:45 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.641 | $2.0k |
| 06-25 08:26 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6519999999 | $1.3k |
| 06-23 14:15 | Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6799999994 | $186.98 |
| 06-23 14:14 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $190.23 |
| 06-23 09:28 | England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6199999997 | $428.71 |
| 06-23 09:27 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.62 | $3.5k |
| 06-22 19:07 | Spread: France (-3.5) | BUY | 0.35 | $700.00 |
| 06-22 19:07 | Spread: France (-2.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $1.5k |
| 06-22 19:05 | Spread: France (-5.5) | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 06-22 19:05 | Spread: France (-3.5) | BUY | 0.3499999998 | $800.00 |
| 06-22 19:03 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $4.4k |
| 06-22 07:29 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $774.92 |
| 06-22 07:29 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.42 | $806.88 |
| 06-22 07:28 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $983.58 |
| 06-21 18:14 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6899999999 | $1000.00 |