Betmeonce
0x63266b661a64419bc5635849c9ce61a5a2b201d6
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $160.3k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $717.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.081US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$1.9kat 0.073US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$530.18at 0.093Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
- +$199.05at 0.259US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$191.61at 0.187Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 16:52 | Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0188929058 | $40.24 |
| 07-28 14:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.69 |
| 07-28 14:47 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | SELL | 0.0263333333 | $4.07 |
| 07-28 14:47 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005999995 | $1.19 |
| 07-28 14:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 14:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 14:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0059999994 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 14:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 19:34 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.0321273841 | $6.79 |
| 07-25 19:32 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.040263846 | $40.00 |
| 07-24 16:48 | New pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999958 | $15.00 |
| 07-24 16:48 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | BUY | 0.0205131545 | $15.00 |
| 07-24 16:48 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | BUY | 0.0150759072 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 16:47 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.0329999948 | $6.00 |
| 07-23 18:29 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24? | BUY | 0.0699999974 | $25.00 |