PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Betmeonce

0x63266b661a64419bc5635849c9ce61a5a2b201d6

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$160.3k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$717.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0790.078$345.85$5.49
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0380.033$128.10$21.89
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0940.085$89.31$9.29
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0640.065$73.67+$0.67
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · Yes0.0640.036$37.22$28.54
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0190.013$28.75$11.48
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.1210.009$14.65$182.05
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$100.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$21.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$15.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$29.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$1.90
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$20.00
Will United States win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.3660.000$0.00$69.30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00$526.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 16:52Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0188929058$40.24
07-28 14:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.006$3.69
07-28 14:47UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?SELL0.0263333333$4.07
07-28 14:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.005999995$1.19
07-28 14:46Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$5.00
07-28 14:46Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$5.00
07-28 14:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0059999994$10.00
07-28 14:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$10.00
07-25 19:34UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.0321273841$6.79
07-25 19:32Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.040263846$40.00
07-24 16:48New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0699999958$15.00
07-24 16:48US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?BUY0.0205131545$15.00
07-24 16:48US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?BUY0.0150759072$20.00
07-24 16:47Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.0329999948$6.00
07-23 18:29US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?BUY0.0699999974$25.00