PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x63C4dCbb199c5eCA30c8a002fF238aAd5DCE4671-1779125900020

0x63c4dcbb199c5eca30c8a002ff238aad5dce4671

Realised P&L
$184.52
Volume
$34.9k
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$11.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3410.345$10.9k+$134.63
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.5440.645$97.88+$15.38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4910.501$18.36+$0.36
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1850.165$16.90$2.10
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.0900.360$4.00+$3.00
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.0900.057$3.75$2.25
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$0.38$0.63
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down0.6400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$12.26
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.2450.000$0.00$2.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0650.000$0.00$9.87
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 12:42Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-27 14:29Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3499999993$300.00
07-26 00:53Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3399999975$71.00
07-25 20:05Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
07-25 20:04Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3499999998$618.00
07-25 19:05Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.35$14.00
07-24 09:22Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.0943261892$5.00
07-24 09:22Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.1799999892$13.00
07-20 19:58Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4769999884$10.00
07-20 01:05Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-19 21:15Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2599998648$1.00
07-19 21:15Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2324998361$1.00
07-19 21:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.731$5.00
07-19 21:10Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.259$2.49
07-19 00:13Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3399999633$5.00