0x63C4dCbb199c5eCA30c8a002fF238aAd5DCE4671-1779125900020
0x63c4dcbb199c5eca30c8a002ff238aad5dce4671
- Realised P&L
- $184.52
- Volume
- $34.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $11.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.40at 0.571Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
- +$21.53at 0.263US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
- +$7.95at 0.430Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
- +$6.73at 0.894Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$4.80at 0.510Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 12:42 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 14:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3499999993 | $300.00 |
| 07-26 00:53 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3399999975 | $71.00 |
| 07-25 20:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 20:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3499999998 | $618.00 |
| 07-25 19:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.35 | $14.00 |
| 07-24 09:22 | Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0943261892 | $5.00 |
| 07-24 09:22 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.1799999892 | $13.00 |
| 07-20 19:58 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4769999884 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 01:05 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2324998361 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.731 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:10 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.259 | $2.49 |
| 07-19 00:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |