PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Mex234

0x63d066149debed093642620ca08a44baa4a487ed

Realised P&L
$-414.78
Volume
$21.5k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$11.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0030.005$5.81+$2.84
Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0030.002$5.46$5.16
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00$113.44
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.0560.000$0.00$99.82
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.2600.000$0.00$26.00
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$19.55
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$102.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 18:57Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.005$0.99
06-22 19:29Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0660549102$2.50
06-22 19:28Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.067$2.54
06-22 19:28Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.074$1.87
06-22 19:27Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.099$0.99
06-22 19:25Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.11$2.04
06-22 16:50Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.433$109.12
06-21 19:27Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.19$9.88
06-21 19:01Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.19$38.00
06-04 17:22Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.001$1.86
06-01 16:21Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0326569385$69.09
06-01 16:17Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1254114462$81.52
06-01 16:16Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.401$4.81
06-01 16:16Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4043669115$91.92
06-01 16:16Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.405$8.51