Mex234
0x63d066149debed093642620ca08a44baa4a487ed
- Realised P&L
- $-414.78
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $11.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.005 | $5.81 | +$2.84 |
| Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $5.46 | −$5.16 |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? · Yes | 0.244 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$113.44 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.82 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.55 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.52at 0.011Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$49.55at 0.064Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$12.61at 0.031Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$6.70at 0.404Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$0.12at 0.350Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 18:57 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.99 |
| 06-22 19:29 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0660549102 | $2.50 |
| 06-22 19:28 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.067 | $2.54 |
| 06-22 19:28 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.074 | $1.87 |
| 06-22 19:27 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.099 | $0.99 |
| 06-22 19:25 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.04 |
| 06-22 16:50 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.433 | $109.12 |
| 06-21 19:27 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.88 |
| 06-21 19:01 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.19 | $38.00 |
| 06-04 17:22 | Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.86 |
| 06-01 16:21 | Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.0326569385 | $69.09 |
| 06-01 16:17 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.1254114462 | $81.52 |
| 06-01 16:16 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.401 | $4.81 |
| 06-01 16:16 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.4043669115 | $91.92 |
| 06-01 16:16 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.405 | $8.51 |