sirluca888
0x64511822c851d4d56d8c6e5376ecfd724c36b57a
- Realised P&L
- $-9.7k
- Volume
- $142.4k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $1.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.440 | 0.001 | $1.14 | −$998.53 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$578.21 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$494.56 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Seattle Mariners | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$296.97 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox · Baltimore Orioles | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies · Colorado Rockies | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$296.71 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$173.83 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Angels | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$221.73 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.398 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$494.93 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$494.68 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.506 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$494.81 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers · Baltimore Orioles | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Athletics vs. Minnesota Twins · Athletics | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$159.98 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.377Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
- +$1.5kat 0.403Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$1.4kat 0.410New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$1.4kat 0.423New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox
- +$1.4kat 0.425Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:05 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:03 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:01 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:59 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:57 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:55 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:54 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:52 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:50 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:48 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:46 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:44 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:43 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:41 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:39 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.43 | $10.00 |