0x64e44d23f2f16399f62345402f60c9b8b3e7ba09
- Realised P&L
- $-30.67
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $7.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.121 | $5.86 | +$5.30 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.005 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.50at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$6.71at 0.309Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$6.58at 0.132Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 3?
- +$5.94at 0.252Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$4.78at 0.173Bitcoin above 60,000 on June 25, 10AM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 18:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 18:16 | Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next? | SELL | 0.0719334163 | $1.16 |
| 07-24 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 10:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 10:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 10:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 10:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.0170709794 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 09:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 23:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 23:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |