yhtytrhrth
0x656672cac3978e34f1ee048006dcec31bcfcea1e
- Realised P&L
- $-157.38
- Volume
- $371.9k
- Markets traded
- 201
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded201
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No | 0.295 | 0.440 | $2.1k | +$691.63 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? · No | 0.140 | 0.280 | $228.76 | +$114.38 |
| Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.615 | $12.30 | +$4.30 |
| Will Reid Detmers be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.475 | $9.55 | +$5.93 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.035 | $3.96 | −$2.75 |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? · No | 0.160 | 0.270 | $1.35 | +$0.55 |
| Will Byron Buxton be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.019 | $0.78 | −$2.02 |
| Will Freddy Peralta be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? · No | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.300Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.145Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
- +$296.79at 0.544LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
- +$206.07at 0.633LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$199.05at 0.513Will LeBron James attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 04:32 | Will Casey Mize be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 08-01 02:21 | Will Reid Detmers be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | BUY | 0.18 | $3.62 |
| 08-01 01:59 | Will Byron Buxton be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 07-28 08:02 | Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.41 |
| 07-28 07:54 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.38 | $23.56 |
| 07-28 07:29 | Will Trump say "Hell" during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.87 |
| 07-28 07:28 | Will Trump say "Hell" during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.47 | $112.80 |
| 07-28 07:21 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 07-28 07:16 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.46 | $10.58 |
| 07-21 12:04 | Map Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Nova Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $55.00 |
| 07-21 11:56 | Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5 | BUY | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 07-21 11:47 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5) | SELL | 0.52 | $83.20 |
| 07-21 11:47 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5) | SELL | 0.52 | $52.00 |
| 07-21 11:40 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $31.20 |
| 07-21 11:38 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap: EDward Gaming (-2.5) vs Nova Esports (+2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |