MagicEightBall
0x65bf3bfd2cd0506e8e41752a01e7af7817c94b91
- Realised P&L
- $24.2k
- Volume
- $2.43M
- Markets traded
- 346
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded346
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.8kat 0.115US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.005Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$2.6kat 0.289Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
- +$2.2kat 0.707Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.573U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:27 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.4209886163 | $252.58 |
| 08-02 19:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 08-02 19:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 08-02 19:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 08-02 18:15 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.35995 | $71.99 |
| 08-02 17:44 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4492 | $22.46 |
| 08-02 16:51 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.384 | $19.20 |
| 08-02 16:48 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.42 | $48.30 |
| 08-02 16:20 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.377 | $13.20 |
| 08-02 16:05 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.389 | $38.90 |
| 08-02 13:26 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 08-02 13:25 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.46 | $24.81 |
| 08-02 13:25 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4568696667 | $137.06 |
| 08-02 13:07 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.424 | $42.40 |
| 08-02 11:17 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4754554974 | $59.94 |