PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MagicEightBall

0x65bf3bfd2cd0506e8e41752a01e7af7817c94b91

Realised P&L
$24.2k
Volume
$2.43M
Markets traded
346
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded346
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0790.125$1.6k+$595.01
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.1920.115$1.4k$921.57
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.005$69.65$15.63
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.005$55.91$16.50
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3360.090$38.13$104.37
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0070.004$4.20$4.20
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday? · No0.0100.000$0.00$1.11
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.44
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026? · No0.0230.000$0.00$16.75
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · No0.0370.000$0.00$12.83
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? · No0.0170.000$0.00$61.76
Will Libre win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.44
"The Fantastic Four: First Steps" Rotten Tomatoes score 90+%? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$22.71
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$107.41
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$13.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:27Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.4209886163$252.58
08-02 19:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.11$110.00
08-02 19:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.11$110.00
08-02 19:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.11$110.00
08-02 18:15Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.35995$71.99
08-02 17:44Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4492$22.46
08-02 16:51Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.384$19.20
08-02 16:48Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.42$48.30
08-02 16:20Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.377$13.20
08-02 16:05Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.389$38.90
08-02 13:26Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.46$23.00
08-02 13:25Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.46$24.81
08-02 13:25Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4568696667$137.06
08-02 13:07Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.424$42.40
08-02 11:17Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.4754554974$59.94