MicAllElle
0x65e4d9cbde2d3fd5e7b8d6374dcbd267bd992420
- Realised P&L
- $-100.64
- Volume
- $101.3k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $730.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$492.12at 0.167Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
- +$448.37at 0.321Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$291.63at 0.738Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$235.43at 0.760Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?
- +$228.03at 0.099Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 12:57 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3290322526 | $34.00 |
| 07-08 06:33 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 31? | BUY | 0.0474915856 | $5.60 |
| 07-08 06:31 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY | 0.0479999912 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 06:30 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY | 0.0529934327 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 12:13 | Graham Platner divorce by October 31? | SELL | 0.9225471218 | $36.22 |
| 07-07 02:03 | Graham Platner divorce by October 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $23.56 |
| 07-07 02:02 | Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms? | BUY | 0.0354266117 | $4.00 |
| 07-01 14:29 | Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 06-26 03:00 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999939 | $31.77 |
| 06-23 01:32 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999947 | $43.21 |
| 06-21 16:09 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $32.09 |
| 06-20 03:23 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $99.25 |
| 06-17 14:13 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.4681059823 | $49.43 |
| 06-17 14:12 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999927 | $17.18 |
| 06-17 14:08 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.55 | $108.54 |