PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AYAHA

0x65f76604523cc136db4fb03e93664135420339cc

Realised P&L
$-9.37
Volume
$25.8k
Markets traded
140
Open portfolio
$19.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded140
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.6150.395$2.57$1.43
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3200.235$1.47$0.53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1660.118$1.42$0.57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4460.395$1.08$0.14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0570.019$1.02$1.98
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.165$0.92$0.08
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.4700.235$0.90$0.90
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0550.049$0.89$0.11
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · No0.7800.660$0.85$0.15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2440.188$0.77$0.23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1500.115$0.77$0.23
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2700.205$0.76$0.24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1000.075$0.75$0.25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.1700.125$0.74$0.26
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3890.272$0.70$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:22Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.033999968$1.00
08-01 19:21Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-01 19:21Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
08-01 19:18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2699998542$1.00
08-01 19:16US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.619999969$2.00
08-01 19:16Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3889997755$1.00
08-01 19:15Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
08-01 19:15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.26$16.40
07-31 20:01Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
07-31 20:01Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-31 20:00US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.28$4.24
07-27 15:59Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.728$1.00
07-27 15:59Iran nuclear test before 2027?SELL0.05$2.00
07-27 15:58Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
07-26 20:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.1699998861$1.00