Tian-Wen
0x66c1a6fe836ff555ca32848646acedbbe93bfa3f
- Realised P&L
- $131.1k
- Volume
- $2.70M
- Markets traded
- 2,776
- Open portfolio
- $106.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,776
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.0kat 0.002Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
- +$8.9kat 0.406US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$8.5kat 0.605Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$4.1kat 0.224Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
- +$3.5kat 0.505US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1020792182 | $49.09 |
| 08-03 03:19 | Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August? | SELL | 0.56 | $20.66 |
| 08-03 02:41 | Will Leavitt say "Pool" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 08-02 10:48 | Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-02 09:08 | Will Trump say "Through the Roof" in August? | SELL | 0.943 | $109.14 |
| 08-02 09:06 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 08-02 06:35 | Will Trump say "Central Casting" in August? | SELL | 0.9522855474 | $32.62 |
| 08-02 04:25 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 08-02 02:10 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week? | BUY | 0.62 | $133.30 |
| 08-01 16:10 | Will Marco Rubio say "JD" or "Vance" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.66 |
| 08-01 16:07 | Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.612467694 | $265.89 |
| 08-01 14:19 | Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.5514018692 | $59.00 |
| 08-01 14:00 | Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 08-01 13:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2078738107 | $39.11 |
| 08-01 13:45 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |