WCBT
0x66d75f659e20e1b1894e52e3c6ad52c9a51d5b7b
- Realised P&L
- $-50.0k
- Volume
- $1.90M
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $13.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.4kat 0.448Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
- +$14.6kat 0.291Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?
- +$13.7kat 0.467Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$6.9kat 0.058Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 1?
- +$6.7kat 0.221Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 06:45 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 19:43 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4 | $34.72 |
| 07-15 19:42 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.395 | $15.80 |
| 07-15 19:39 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3325 | $159.60 |
| 07-15 19:35 | England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 07-15 11:37 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.2398529412 | $81.55 |
| 07-14 19:11 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.2293086124 | $99.50 |
| 07-14 19:10 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3625 | $181.25 |
| 07-14 19:08 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.37 | $370.00 |
| 07-13 06:37 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.2594339623 | $68.75 |
| 07-12 04:20 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.2789791226 | $410.10 |
| 07-11 12:04 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $42.00 |
| 07-11 12:04 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $11.88 |
| 07-11 12:03 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.2656076135 | $23.58 |
| 07-11 12:03 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.28 |