PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

WCBT

0x66d75f659e20e1b1894e52e3c6ad52c9a51d5b7b

Realised P&L
$-50.0k
Volume
$1.90M
Markets traded
290
Open portfolio
$13.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded290
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2340.075$3.3k$7.0k
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.2510.635$2.8k+$1.7k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2110.115$2.3k$1.9k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1970.095$1.3k$1.4k
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.165$1.1k$960.76
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1590.195$1.0k+$191.22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3550.215$1.0k$666.43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2750.140$994.97$956.05
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3180.075$46.08$149.22
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3100.006$0.78$39.37
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$1.1k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 28? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$1.7k
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00$272.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 10? · Yes0.2720.000$0.00$2.1k
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.4940.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 06:45Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
07-15 19:43Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.4$34.72
07-15 19:42Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.395$15.80
07-15 19:39Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3325$159.60
07-15 19:35England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?BUY0.21$105.00
07-15 11:37Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.2398529412$81.55
07-14 19:11Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.2293086124$99.50
07-14 19:10Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3625$181.25
07-14 19:08Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.37$370.00
07-13 06:37Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.2594339623$68.75
07-12 04:20Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.2789791226$410.10
07-11 12:04Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.28$42.00
07-11 12:04Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.27$11.88
07-11 12:03Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.2656076135$23.58
07-11 12:03Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.22$5.28