0x66ED2351E7Be22144Df0F052652214cec377aa53-1771940134068
0x66ed2351e7be22144df0f052652214cec377aa53
- Realised P&L
- $6.9k
- Volume
- $611.0k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $7.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes | 0.937 | 1.000 | $3.8k | +$237.25 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · Yes | 0.874 | 1.000 | $3.2k | +$406.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$790.31at 0.910Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$739.99at 0.824Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
- +$653.19at 0.897Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$451.22at 0.748Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
- +$429.18at 0.869Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.30 |
| 08-02 03:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.8998044626 | $460.17 |
| 08-02 03:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.5296470588 | $168.82 |
| 08-02 03:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.5682352941 | $60.37 |
| 08-02 02:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | SELL | 0.5691138936 | $118.18 |
| 08-02 02:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.3k |
| 08-02 02:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.8789993471 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 02:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.832378171 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 00:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? | BUY | 0.9168716379 | $500.00 |
| 08-01 21:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 08-01 04:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.8k |
| 07-31 21:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.8591408581 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 21:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.8205817521 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 15:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 07-31 15:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |