PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RadioCCOD

0x66f94e9c2b5d0d0079d96693ef15fb7a281eadb9

Realised P&L
$9.8k
Volume
$735.0k
Markets traded
353
Open portfolio
$22.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded353
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0580.146$2.2k+$1.3k
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5920.655$2.0k+$187.71
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3850.475$998.08+$189.21
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4030.455$910.64+$103.81
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0300.025$762.82$147.13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0540.049$728.62$87.94
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.029$590.00+$176.98
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1460.235$587.54+$221.30
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5170.505$521.23$12.95
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1210.115$490.41$26.61
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2080.165$449.66$116.15
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.3960.445$444.92+$49.14
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat? · Yes0.2970.300$344.53+$3.36
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%? · Yes0.1400.190$342.04+$89.26
Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1430.140$323.93$6.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 01:48Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.096$2.11
08-03 01:44Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.14$37.80
08-03 01:43Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.15$7.80
08-03 01:41Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?SELL0.36$37.24
08-03 01:30Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?BUY0.09$4.41
08-03 01:30Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.37$7.40
08-03 01:24Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1$5.70
08-03 01:12Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.369999963$3.60
08-03 01:11Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.029$40.31
08-03 01:08Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
08-03 01:08Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
08-03 01:07Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
08-03 01:04Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?SELL0.72$17.45
08-03 01:03Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.091$2.04
08-03 01:01Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.08$1.79