0x674d402e39c70441bfd52fcac4880409f7fd0dec
- Realised P&L
- $18.41
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 173
- Open portfolio
- $9.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded173
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.230 | 1.000 | $9.99 | +$7.69 |
| Will CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.77at 0.170Will FK Teplice win on 2026-08-01?
- +$6.37at 0.220Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-02?
- +$5.83at 0.300Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30?
- +$5.13at 0.280Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-08-01?
- +$4.95at 0.230Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:37 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 20:27 | Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 08-02 20:20 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-04? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.64 |
| 08-02 20:17 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-02 20:15 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.80 |
| 08-02 19:44 | Will CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-02 19:37 | Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.05 |
| 08-02 19:27 | Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.17 |
| 08-02 19:26 | Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.951 | $4.62 |
| 08-02 18:37 | Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4399998729 | $1.80 |
| 08-02 18:07 | Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.17 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.24 |
| 08-02 16:15 | Will FK Spartak Moskva win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.5099999409 | $2.59 |
| 08-02 16:13 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.48 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 15:31 | Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3699999363 | $1.80 |