dramp3
0x67fac157334878d1d3d602fa8d59fb9bdf01e90f
- Realised P&L
- $-11.8k
- Volume
- $171.7k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $13.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No | 0.919 | 0.892 | $5.7k | −$169.58 |
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No | 0.967 | 0.973 | $4.2k | +$24.05 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.753 | 0.560 | $2.7k | −$913.92 |
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.885 | 0.660 | $1.3k | −$450.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$758.11at 0.814MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$150.00at 0.670Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$149.11at 0.741Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$118.98at 0.850MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
- +$102.20at 0.963Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 00:12 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.907 | $357.78 |
| 08-01 00:11 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0581599824 | $477.64 |
| 08-01 00:11 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0197034274 | $77.69 |
| 06-30 22:24 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9358043098 | $272.72 |
| 06-30 22:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.3882327138 | $365.52 |
| 06-30 02:36 | Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 06-30 02:36 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $97.33 |
| 06-04 21:50 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.9145587893 | $785.61 |
| 05-29 03:29 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $32.83 |
| 05-22 02:42 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $59.52 |
| 05-22 02:42 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.886 | $300.97 |
| 05-08 04:25 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 04-30 11:30 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.3 | $707.82 |
| 04-30 11:28 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.9k |
| 04-30 11:28 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.33 | $4.29 |