simplystupid188
0x682c92615993fd1f75cdfe101efdc1a8adcb17ae
- Realised P&L
- $26.8k
- Volume
- $42.92M
- Markets traded
- 1,408
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,408
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.154Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
- +$1.2kat 0.209Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$551.65at 0.783US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$524.53at 0.300Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
- +$512.82at 0.006Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 05:07 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.60 |
| 07-01 05:03 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.218 | $6.93 |
| 07-01 04:53 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.66 |
| 07-01 04:53 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.50 |
| 07-01 04:53 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.50 |
| 07-01 04:51 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.50 |
| 07-01 04:51 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.50 |
| 07-01 04:51 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.66 |
| 07-01 04:49 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.50 |
| 07-01 04:49 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.50 |
| 07-01 04:49 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.66 |
| 07-01 04:09 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.45 |
| 07-01 04:03 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $1.34 |
| 07-01 02:44 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.235 | $5.39 |
| 06-30 23:43 | GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.096 | $0.52 |