ImNotBetting
0x686d5bfc5aee6aaed7bf6a11baef5b57e57d1a68
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $74.1k
- Markets traded
- 872
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded872
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.08at 0.045Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$116.98at 0.079Will Analilia Mejia be the Democratic nominee for the NJ-11 special election?
- +$115.24at 0.060Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
- +$88.69at 0.444Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$88.62at 0.567Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:51 | Will Mary Silva advance to the general election for WA-01? | BUY | 0.2300319016 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 22:51 | Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.0879999226 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 22:50 | Will Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.3247732387 | $7.00 |
| 08-02 22:49 | Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 22:48 | Will Kshama Sawant advance to the general election for WA-09? | BUY | 0.4899999559 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 23:25 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 23:03 | Will Melissa Chaudhry advance to the general election for WA-09? | BUY | 0.0594235365 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 23:01 | Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by 8–12%? | BUY | 0.0103831847 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 22:58 | Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 19:48 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.01 |
| 08-01 19:41 | Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:39 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? | BUY | 0.1259999754 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 19:38 | Will Kamu Kirk win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.0819999311 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:38 | Will Angela Murray win Big Brother season 28? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 19:35 | Will Cori Bush win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%? | BUY | 0.0909999255 | $1.00 |