hello2hello
0x68b9c9878a080a8f75335058fa6254358095a89b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.081 | $566.97 | −$774.75 |
| Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.125 | $487.05 | −$1.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.79at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$0.44at 0.474Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$0.29at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$0.25at 0.321Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
- +$0.23at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 05:39 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.2882551141 | $677.32 |
| 02-19 05:01 | Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.191685513 | $1.3k |
| 02-19 02:56 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.5507517863 | $637.54 |
| 02-19 02:33 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.45 | $175.11 |
| 02-12 02:45 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.3383507772 | $677.00 |
| 02-11 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999705 | $7.53 |
| 02-11 07:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $0.97 |
| 02-06 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $8.75 |
| 02-06 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4150209137 | $27.50 |
| 02-06 07:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $5.83 |
| 02-06 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7499998875 | $4.91 |
| 02-06 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $4.55 |
| 02-06 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $0.97 |
| 02-05 11:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $0.50 |
| 02-05 11:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.57 | $0.98 |